mlb26

Chad’s 2026 MLB Report

Interested in the underlying code that builds this report? Check it out on GitHub: mlb26


Contents


Team Standings


Run Differentials


Runs Scored and Allowed per Game


Pythagorean Wins


Adjusted Run Differentials


Team NPR


Adjusted Pythagorean Wins


Scaled Team Ratings


Cumulative Run Differentials


Win Percentage by Run Differential


One Run Games


True vs Adjusted Run Differentials


Blowout-Adjusted Cumulative Run Differentials


Records vs Winning Record Teams


all_results |>
  mutate(diff = score - opp_score) |>
  group_by(diff) |>
  count(team, name = "cnt") |>
  slice_max(cnt, n = 1, with_ties = T) |>
  summarise(cnt = first(cnt), team = paste(team, collapse = ", ")) |>
  mutate(clean_diff = ifelse(diff > 0, paste0(diff, "-run victory"), paste0(abs(diff), "-run defeat")),
         str = paste0(clean_diff, ": ", team, " (", cnt, ")")) |>
  distinct(str) |>
  pull(str)
##  [1] "16-run defeat: Baltimore Orioles (1)"                                                                                                                              
##  [2] "15-run defeat: Arizona Diamondbacks (1)"                                                                                                                           
##  [3] "14-run defeat: Washington Nationals (1)"                                                                                                                           
##  [4] "13-run defeat: Los Angeles Angels (2)"                                                                                                                             
##  [5] "12-run defeat: Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves, Chicago White Sox, Cleveland Guardians, New York Mets, Toronto Blue Jays (1)"                                 
##  [6] "11-run defeat: Philadelphia Phillies (2)"                                                                                                                          
##  [7] "10-run defeat: Baltimore Orioles, Cincinnati Reds, San Francisco Giants (2)"                                                                                       
##  [8] "9-run defeat: Colorado Rockies, Philadelphia Phillies (2)"                                                                                                         
##  [9] "8-run defeat: Houston Astros (4)"                                                                                                                                  
## [10] "7-run defeat: Boston Red Sox (6)"                                                                                                                                  
## [11] "6-run defeat: San Diego Padres (6)"                                                                                                                                
## [12] "5-run defeat: Houston Astros, Washington Nationals (6)"                                                                                                            
## [13] "4-run defeat: Minnesota Twins, San Francisco Giants (5)"                                                                                                           
## [14] "3-run defeat: Miami Marlins, San Francisco Giants, Toronto Blue Jays (7)"                                                                                          
## [15] "2-run defeat: Houston Astros (8)"                                                                                                                                  
## [16] "1-run defeat: Seattle Mariners (11)"                                                                                                                               
## [17] "1-run victory: Philadelphia Phillies, St. Louis Cardinals (10)"                                                                                                    
## [18] "2-run victory: Baltimore Orioles, Cleveland Guardians, St. Louis Cardinals (9)"                                                                                    
## [19] "3-run victory: Texas Rangers (8)"                                                                                                                                  
## [20] "4-run victory: Tampa Bay Rays (5)"                                                                                                                                 
## [21] "5-run victory: Atlanta Braves (6)"                                                                                                                                 
## [22] "6-run victory: Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies (5)"                                                                                                     
## [23] "7-run victory: Baltimore Orioles, Houston Astros, New York Yankees (3)"                                                                                            
## [24] "8-run victory: Chicago Cubs, Cleveland Guardians, Los Angeles Angels, Minnesota Twins, New York Mets, New York Yankees, Seattle Mariners (2)"                      
## [25] "9-run victory: Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Mets (2)"                                                                                                             
## [26] "10-run victory: Pittsburgh Pirates (2)"                                                                                                                            
## [27] "11-run victory: Athletics, Colorado Rockies, Houston Astros, Kansas City Royals, Milwaukee Brewers, New York Yankees, Pittsburgh Pirates, Washington Nationals (1)"
## [28] "12-run victory: Milwaukee Brewers (2)"                                                                                                                             
## [29] "13-run victory: Los Angeles Dodgers, Toronto Blue Jays, Washington Nationals (1)"                                                                                  
## [30] "14-run victory: Cincinnati Reds (1)"                                                                                                                               
## [31] "15-run victory: Atlanta Braves (1)"                                                                                                                                
## [32] "16-run victory: Boston Red Sox (1)"

True vs Adjusted Strength of Schedule

Adjusted strength of schedule removes a team from its opponent’s pool of games. For example, when calculating the Cubs’ adjusted SOS, it is the average win percentage of their opponents with all games against the Cubs removed.